Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $412.5
- Potential payout
- $55K
- Potential profit
- $54.59K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $27.5
Polymarket Trader
TheBlackCat
0x8c00efb09e82f6e84ef82e2c6c86fdfe02b3e3a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.35K
- Realized PnL
- $338.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $933.32
- Potential payout
- $979.86
- Potential profit
- $46.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $51.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.81
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.4
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $18
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.45
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 time by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90% 979.86 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.6% 951.44 shares
- Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 55,000 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 20,000 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 90.3% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 91.7% 200 shares
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsAstralis 88.1% 1,003.13 shares
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?No 97.4% 115.01 shares
- Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?No 98.2% 30 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 88% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 81% 200 shares
- Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?Yes 99.8% 100 shares