No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- User PnL
- -$13.03
Polymarket Trader
Mustafalafel
0x8c0b637b43ccbd2069b0f789b8439777fdb4f0fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.77K
- Realized PnL
- $7.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$125
Yes position
Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$783.62
Yes position
Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$117.71
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $324.22
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $69.48
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$171.72
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $207.02
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $6.27
Yes position
Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$500
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $599.63
- Potential payout
- $750.01
- Potential profit
- $150.38
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $34.13
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $626.9
- Potential payout
- $627.21
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $16.87
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $451.77
- Potential payout
- $452
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $122.01
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $169.03
- Potential payout
- $334.72
- Potential profit
- $165.69
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $233.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $16.63
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $23.04
No position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $246.24
- Potential payout
- $249.99
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.5
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $185.01
- Potential profit
- $184.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$134.96
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $176.25
- Potential payout
- $184.56
- Potential profit
- $8.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.46
Yes position
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $60.06
- Potential payout
- $150.16
- Potential profit
- $90.1
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$38.68
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.01
- Potential profit
- $127.01
- User PnL
- -$16.51
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $43.74
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.87
- Potential profit
- $39.87
- User PnL
- -$6.82
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $5.45
- Potential profit
- $3.68
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.9
No position
Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.79
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $452.38
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $182.5
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $167.09
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.13
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.07
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.91
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $121.47
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.04
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.96
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.08
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.49
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.47
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.78
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $29.5
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $15.94
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 55% 5,115.75 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 72% 2,195.73 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 23% 2,152.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 66% 1,067.45 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 67% 15 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 64.8% 1,636.63 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 26% 2,500 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 42% 1,222 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 58% 3,333 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 62% 1,053.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 32% 623.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 35% 154.85 shares