No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $128.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $184.2
Polymarket Trader
abze
0x8c0ddefb3ad5c6b2bdd08c581404aeca27c59d95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.62K
- Realized PnL
- $688.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- User PnL
- $35.55
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $226.92
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $122.81
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $102.6
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $24.8
Yes position
USDC depeg by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $25.13
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$24.19
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$594.99
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $809.95
- Potential profit
- $809.95
- User PnL
- -$9.22
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $586.2
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.2
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $436.54
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $83.46
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $33.14
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $365.7
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $94.3
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $441.94
- Potential payout
- $443.05
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $108
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $292
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $379.05
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $29.45
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $94
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $98.89
- Potential profit
- $9.39
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $60.45
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.4
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $4.15
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.31
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.51
No position
China x India military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.81
No position
Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.8
No position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 150% and 200% on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2400 on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
OpenSea token announcement in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
X allowed to operate in China before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes 12% 30 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30?No 68% 19.26 shares