Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.36K
- Potential payout
- $63.04K
- Potential profit
- $57.68K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$421.37
Polymarket Trader
ConstitutiveStructuresofDesire
0x8c185480f8ef50a2a1219a5aab788034c6ee5079
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.36K
- Realized PnL
- $152.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.62
Yes position
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.54
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.24
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 6.6% 11,257.64 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 7% 874.43 shares
- Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?Yes 4% 89.53 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 8.6% 195.51 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 8.7% 214.28 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 17% 130.43 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 7% 339.14 shares
- Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes 4.7% 305.84 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 37% 25 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 8% 1,045.63 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 8.5% 8,465.62 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 8.5% 18,262.52 shares