No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $240.15
- Potential payout
- $393.69
- Potential profit
- $153.54
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Polymarket Trader
0x.4a514
0x8c2aee57a3602fbda1027b4165f73c08845638d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $842.26
- Realized PnL
- $94.74
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $145.41
- Potential payout
- $279.63
- Potential profit
- $134.22
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$53.13
Yes position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $86.36
- Potential payout
- $143.94
- Potential profit
- $57.57
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$33.64
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Current value
- $121.97
- Potential payout
- $139.71
- Potential profit
- $17.74
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.97
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $88.31
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $41.56
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$11.69
Yes position
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $104.88
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $17.07
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $55.18
- Potential payout
- $70.66
- Potential profit
- $15.47
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13.51
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $7.55
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $3.32
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.6% 60.6 shares
- Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40% 4.92 shares
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes 34.1% 302.58 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No 80% 411.72 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 86% 120.48 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.6% 111.11 shares
- Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?No 82% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 62% 161.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74% 200 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 86% 117.58 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 82% 123.45 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 82% 125 shares