Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.67K
- Potential profit
- $86.67K
- User PnL
- -$17.33K
Polymarket Trader
basedd
0x8c2f71eb241d65b3806239501f1a501af2fe1a88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.64K
- Realized PnL
- $496.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.67K
- Potential profit
- $86.67K
- User PnL
- -$17.33K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.68K
- Potential profit
- $82.68K
- User PnL
- -$16.54K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $16K
- User PnL
- -$4K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $12.97K
- Potential profit
- $10.57K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$454.02
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.87K
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- $89.62
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- User PnL
- -$276.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- User PnL
- -$148.18
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.37K
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $278.43
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $39.78
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- User PnL
- $134.09
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $9.78
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$530.58
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$57.99
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$27.51
No position
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $877.69
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $233.31
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $55.55
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $987.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $218
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $782.97
- Potential payout
- $910.43
- Potential profit
- $127.46
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $136.56
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $488.67
- Potential profit
- $488.67
- User PnL
- -$39.09
Yes position
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $391.79
- Potential profit
- $374.78
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$46.43
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360.56
- Potential profit
- $360.56
- User PnL
- -$71.01
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $144.77
- Potential payout
- $146.31
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.48
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $178.56K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.46K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.85K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.33K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.81K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $24.33K
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $16.35K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.21K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.97K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $10.69K
Yes position
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.7K
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.05K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.28K
Yes position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $992.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $977.36
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910.21
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $908.83
Yes position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $888.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 101,938.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.7% 9,417.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 9,408.04 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 5% 1,535.03 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 82% 6,608.39 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 30.4% 1,761.89 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 3% 1,752.33 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.6% 2,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 87% 7,741.02 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 16.2% 1,528.86 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 14.2% 2,006.84 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95.4% 2,014.04 shares