Polymarket Trader

luca88

0x8c3466b367308d51253a63a07a04fcd8ef7f2e80

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.13K
Realized PnL: $30.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.33K
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $29.5
User PnL: $37.23

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.57
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$12.36

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $200.71
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $815.55
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $183.77

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $125.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $890.75
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $108.57

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $145.83
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $870.43
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $128.9

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $19.82
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $996.44
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $12.7
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$4.23

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $45.22
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $971.04
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $28.29

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$5.25

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.43

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $140.75
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $875.51
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $123.82

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $68.6
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $947.66
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $51.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.82K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $955.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.63

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.98

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 99.5% 1,005.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

No 99.9% 5,205.21 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

No 90% 55.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.8% 5,310.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.9% 5,008.9 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.8% 3,850.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.8% 1,158.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 94% 340.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 99.7% 5,000.75 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?

Yes 99.8% 5,210.42 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10?

No 99.9% 1,752.45 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10?

Yes 97.1% 1,431.21 shares