Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $202.19
- Potential payout
- $641.88
- Potential profit
- $439.69
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $54.56
Polymarket Trader
yanchi1
0x8c40b237f014a623ae0da33424582c2221dc40da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $282.89
- Realized PnL
- $93.62
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $30.45
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $404.55
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$23.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $31.75
- Potential payout
- $181.44
- Potential profit
- $149.69
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $81.5
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
ZachXBT investigation post over 10M views on day one?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will there be 10–12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will there be 10–12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Yes 15% 195 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 50 shares
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State CyclonesTennessee State Tigers 0.1% 1,672.15 shares
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State CyclonesTennessee State Tigers 0.5% 999.91 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No 13% 100 shares
- Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes 9.9% 20.62 shares
- Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes 0.2% 24 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No 12% 100 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No 10% 60 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No 10% 100 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?No 10% 100 shares
- Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?No 8% 54.47 shares