Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $11.57K
- Potential payout
- $90K
- Potential profit
- $78.44K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Polymarket Trader
nelbal8486
0x8c4465127b5278a5d7fd120b95b77e7fe292fcd4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.17K
- Realized PnL
- $43.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $52.62K
- Potential payout
- $54.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $48.87K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $575
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $7.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$942.31
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.98K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
SpaceX position
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $4.05K
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $86.91
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $244.19
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $154.84
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $111.55
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$413.74
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $629.23
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $827.8
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$5.31
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $230
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$230
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $92.69
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$50.57
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$575.49
Yes position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$57.99
Yes position
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $213.52
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$70.56
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $977.9
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $85.03
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.23
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $664.78
- Potential payout
- $710.99
- Potential profit
- $46.21
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $458.74
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601.78
- Potential profit
- $601.78
- User PnL
- -$78.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $71.94
- Potential payout
- $575.51
- Potential profit
- $503.57
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$42.48
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $469.52
- Potential payout
- $485.79
- Potential profit
- $16.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$6.54
Yes position
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $236.31
- Potential payout
- $283
- Potential profit
- $46.69
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $85.59
Yes position
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.22
- Potential profit
- $260.22
- User PnL
- -$23.36
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.1%
- Current value
- $111.62
- Potential payout
- $232.05
- Potential profit
- $120.43
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $84.14
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $99.88
- Potential payout
- $112.86
- Potential profit
- $12.98
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $8.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46K
No position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27K
Yes position
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
No position
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $996.57
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $988.56
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $841.15
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $802.67
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $787.45
Yes position
Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.63
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $501.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $443.54
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.16
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.31
80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.89
No position
Robert Jenrick next Conservative party leader?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.96
No position
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $245.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 81% 112.86 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 64.9% 1,931.83 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes 99.9% 6,561.01 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes 99.5% 30.03 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes 99.3% 223.77 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 30,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 16% 1,660.02 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 13% 3,612.45 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 73% 5,067.39 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 73% 1,526.89 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 74.3% 1,226 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 77% 1,097.33 shares