Polymarket Trader

AlphaZBeta

0x8c4ab4dde8b5de5f6291596bdd9f690fa53e30a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.16
Realized PnL: $3.81
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $427.29
Potential profit: $424.51
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $7.32
Potential payout: $325.53
Potential profit: $318.21
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.97
Potential profit: $253.97
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.4
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Ashley Avignone be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $188.58
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Este Haim be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $82.63
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $75.58
Potential profit: $75.24
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Cara Delevingne be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.96
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.64
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 75.58 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 0.8% 125.72 shares
Will Ashley Avignone be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 0.5% 190 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 0.2% 427.29 shares
Will Cara Delevingne be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 1.4% 71.43 shares
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will Este Haim be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?

Yes 0.5% 199.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Down 31% 3.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Down 27% 3.7 shares