Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $615
- Potential profit
- $615
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Polymarket Trader
Wilsons
0x8c50ef600631f76ee66be2e337ac03cf0eb1ec9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.5
- Realized PnL
- $38.43
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.33
- Potential profit
- $588.33
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will PIN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $585
- Potential profit
- $585
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $186.5
- Potential payout
- $187.44
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Amazon reach $276 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit $275 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will BNB reach $1400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.5% 187.44 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?No 99.8% 11.12 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.8% 92.99 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No 99.5% 57.49 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?No 99.6% 4.02 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?No 99.8% 3.61 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.7% 2.51 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No 94% 32.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 98.1% 130.58 shares
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 82.3% 129.22 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 99.4% 3.32 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No 98.7% 40.22 shares