Polymarket Trader

62sfds

0x8c525e99e34ae1d670aca9e79e4db8fd8c20eb4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.28
Realized PnL: -$1.74
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $737.9
Potential profit: $732
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will Tara Nethercott win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Argentina be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $40.78
Potential profit: $39.8
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $37.84
Potential profit: $37.46
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.91
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.93
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $25.3
Potential profit: $24.59
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

Ends Jun 6, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $19.63
Potential profit: $17.77
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $17.96
Potential profit: $15.35
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will White House post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $16.9
Potential profit: $16.69
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $14.6
Potential profit: $13.19
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + NZF?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $13.12
Potential profit: $11.43
Multiplier: 7.75x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $12.59
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Chris Swanson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.39
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $8.81
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $9.24
Potential profit: $9.08
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $8.53
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $8.6
Potential profit: $7.24
Multiplier: 6.33x
User PnL: $1.26

Over position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 36.4%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $5.39
Multiplier: 2.75x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $8.32
Potential profit: $8.22
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.01

Over position

Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $5.86
Potential payout: $7.24
Potential profit: $1.38
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $6.7
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.6%
Multiplier: 5.10x
User PnL: $2.55

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.9%
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Morocco be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.40x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72%
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.2%
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Juan Soto hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Multiplier: 11.63x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.72x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 87.1%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will White House post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 81.4 shares
Will White House post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 29.8 shares
Will White House post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 39.2 shares
Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 0.2% 5.66 shares
Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 0.2% 8.32 shares
Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 0.2% 8.32 shares
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Yes 0.4% 13.72 shares
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Yes 0.2% 35.57 shares
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Yes 0.2% 63.8 shares
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Yes 0.2% 63.8 shares
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Yes 0.2% 63.8 shares
Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 0.6% 3.1 shares