No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
STEFAN888
0x8c53b233933facb91794ee5d37877e233b1d6339
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.67
- Realized PnL
- $25.06
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $756.99
- Potential profit
- $755.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Curaçao?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.5
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Curaçao?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.13
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.25
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.83
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.75
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.93
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.93
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.93
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $141.93
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.06
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $22.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65
United States position
Spread: United States (-3.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
United States position
Spread: United States (-2.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83
United States position
Spread: United States (-4.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Australia?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 34°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 3,000 shares
- Curaçao leading at halftime?Yes 5.5% 18.18 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Over 1.6% 62.5 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver 19% 52.63 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Curaçao?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Curaçao?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Curaçao?Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Curaçao?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Curaçao?Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Curaçao?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Over 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Sweden 1% 100 shares