Polymarket Trader

ferriitoo0x8cabcdabcd5414

0x8c5d54cfcdbddd26eafe3a3e283b7517242d5c1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $193.72
Realized PnL: $62.2
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $63.86
Potential payout: $391.8
Potential profit: $327.94
Multiplier: 6.13x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $158.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $106.11
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $32.37
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $50.96
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $22.37

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $14.96
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $56.46
Multiplier: 4.77x
User PnL: $4.96

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.03
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$7.05

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.91
Potential payout: $30.91
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $27.51

Yes position

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $22.57
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.06
Potential profit: $23.06
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $12.72
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.79
Potential profit: $15.79
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.58

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.14

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.15

No position

Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Yes position

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.36

No position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.58

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-02?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

US bank failure by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?

Yes 37% 10.81 shares
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?

Yes 7.4% 40.58 shares
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

No 52% 26.31 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

No 74% 23.8 shares
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 15% 13.33 shares
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 21.7% 23.06 shares
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares