Polymarket Trader

ManBOOOO

@syngnathkuang

0x8c65191e411feec6c73aefbd74a55d246099dcf7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $729.72
Realized PnL: $1.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $71.06
Potential payout: $710.63
Potential profit: $639.57
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$43.7

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.43

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.5
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $41.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $158.6
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$26.6

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $86.88
Potential payout: $168.7
Potential profit: $81.82
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $17.12
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $142.88
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: -$11.68

Yes position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $154.77
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.77

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $72.21
Potential payout: $145.88
Potential profit: $73.67
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $17.56
Potential payout: $140.49
Potential profit: $122.93
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$10.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.91
Potential profit: $113.91
User PnL: -$1

No position

Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $112.36
Potential payout: $112.53
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.3
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Portugal (5) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $36.48
Potential payout: $99.95
Potential profit: $63.47
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$6.88

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $48.03
Potential payout: $97.04
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$23.42

No position

Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $68.73
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $18.27
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?

Ends Nov 2, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $21.89
Potential payout: $71.76
Potential profit: $49.87
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$7.68

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $56.43
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $13.67
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $10.35

Yes position

Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $42.41
Potential payout: $69.52
Potential profit: $27.11
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$2.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.8

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.37

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.27

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.23

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.46

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.26

Yes position

Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.01

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.69

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.65

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 5.1% 30 shares
Will Egypt finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 98% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Down 98% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Down 80% 6.25 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 63% 25 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 53% 94.34 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 21% 20 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 23% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Down 83.5% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Down 65% 38.47 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 15 shares
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 53% 20 shares