No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $370.41
- Potential payout
- $370.6
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.19
Polymarket Trader
DISPLAYGAME
0x8c75c76f3193b32a86c87fda4597cef95e75f00a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $982.95
- Realized PnL
- $871.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.67
- Potential profit
- $263.67
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $209.64
- Potential payout
- $211.65
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $205.43
- Potential profit
- $205.43
- User PnL
- -$162.86
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $46.97
- Potential payout
- $204.68
- Potential profit
- $157.7
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $11.97
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $191.5
- Potential profit
- $191.5
- User PnL
- -$19.87
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.09
- Potential profit
- $153.09
- User PnL
- -$88.05
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $134.62
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $115
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $103.64
- Potential payout
- $105.01
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.64
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.83
- Potential profit
- $92.83
- User PnL
- -$76
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.37
- Potential profit
- $92.37
- User PnL
- -$86
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $60.1
- Potential payout
- $89.04
- Potential profit
- $28.94
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.24
- Potential profit
- $88.24
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $86.91
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $85.37
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.33
- Potential profit
- $81.33
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.26
- Potential profit
- $75.26
- User PnL
- -$73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $67.39
- Potential payout
- $67.43
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $65.22
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.23
- Potential profit
- $58.23
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.8
- Potential profit
- $57.8
- User PnL
- -$19.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $37.87
- Potential payout
- $37.93
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $4.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.55
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.44
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.87
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.25
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.45
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.03
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.54
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.41
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.06
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.08
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.07
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.71
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.31
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.38
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96.4% 211.65 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 370.6 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No 87% 37.93 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 96.4% 67.43 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 73% 89.04 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 90% 84.44 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 63% 120.63 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.9% 86.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.9% 105.01 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 204.68 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 41% 85.37 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.6% 92.13 shares