jedeckert

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $56.85
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$43.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.72
Potential profit: $928.72
User PnL: -$9.29

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $85.31
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $539.69
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$14.69

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $67.02
Potential payout: $362.26
Potential profit: $295.24
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$30.79

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $276.81
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$24.03

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.06
Potential profit: $210.06
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.69
Potential profit: $166.69
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $30.92
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $100.66
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $5.92

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.28
Potential profit: $107.28
User PnL: -$18.75

Yes position

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.07
Potential profit: $102.07
User PnL: -$5

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.97
Potential payout: $62.82
Potential profit: $56.85
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$19.03

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.25
Potential profit: $52.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.44
Potential profit: $45.44
User PnL: -$24.54

Yes position

Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.25
Potential profit: $20.25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.42

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.64

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.26

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: February

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.62

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

No position

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?