Polymarket Trader

groove-

0x8c80bd1857dc56a60cc88a9a48d7f1d318adfec1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.2K
Realized PnL: $4.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $9.13K
Potential payout: $10.32K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$96.6

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $61.51
Potential payout: $323.72
Potential profit: $262.21
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$73.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.78

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $436.2

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.39

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.81

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.99

No position

Trump declares another national emergency by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.86

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.65

No position

Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.18

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $116.32

No position

Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.49

Yes position

Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.44

Yes position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.6%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $65.12

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.43

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.32

No position

Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.19

No position

Will Ilya "⁠m0NESY⁠" Osipov win the HLTV Awper of the Year award

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

No position

Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.11

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

No position

Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 240.66 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 89% 1,946 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

No 86% 900 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64% 557.81 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 64% 557.81 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 4,877.89 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

No 48% 11.07 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 200 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 90% 200 shares
Will Mathieu "⁠ZywOo⁠" Herbaut win the HLTV Awper of the Year award

Yes 97.9% 86.18 shares
Will Ilya "⁠m0NESY⁠" Osipov win the HLTV Awper of the Year award

No 99% 604.08 shares
Will Ilya "⁠m0NESY⁠" Osipov win the HLTV Awper of the Year award

No 99% 1.73 shares