Polymarket Trader

SecondWindCapital

0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.03M
Realized PnL: $3.68M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19M
Potential profit: $2.19M
User PnL: -$1.79M

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46M
Potential profit: $1.46M
User PnL: -$204.06K

Magic position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.88K
Potential profit: $950.88K
User PnL: -$225.54K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $102.4K
Potential payout: $819.22K
Potential profit: $716.82K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$181.95K

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $711.74K
Potential profit: $711.74K
User PnL: -$170.82K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.34K
Potential profit: $649.34K
User PnL: -$253.24K

Bublik position

Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625.57K
Potential profit: $625.57K
User PnL: -$218.6K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $407.59K
Potential payout: $450.38K
Potential profit: $42.79K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $40.46K

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $371.61K
Potential payout: $410.62K
Potential profit: $39.01K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $20.89K

76ers position

76ers vs. Knicks

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.91K
Potential profit: $386.91K
User PnL: -$116.07K

Alexander Zverev position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $382.3K
Potential profit: $382.3K
User PnL: -$45.23K

Jannik Sinner position

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.59K
Potential profit: $360.59K
User PnL: -$108.35K

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.78K
Potential payout: $264.61K
Potential profit: $261.84K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$132.31

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.84K
Potential profit: $226.84K
User PnL: -$3.66K

Yes position

Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.29K
Potential profit: $180.29K
User PnL: -$340.57

Alexander Zverev position

BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.73K
Potential profit: $174.73K
User PnL: -$15.5K

Paul position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.93K
Potential profit: $170.93K
User PnL: -$20.51K

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $145.5K
Potential payout: $159.02K
Potential profit: $13.52K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.3K

Yes position

Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.77K
Potential profit: $153.77K
User PnL: -$2.06K

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $150K
User PnL: -$97.44K

Curtis Blaydes position

UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.62K
Potential profit: $147.62K
User PnL: -$73.81K

Yes position

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.17K
Potential profit: $140.17K
User PnL: -$28.03K

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.1K
Potential profit: $138.1K
User PnL: -$74.29K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.7K
Potential profit: $124.7K
User PnL: -$12K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $568.43K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.01K

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.92K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.86K

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.49K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.03K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.92K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.35K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.58K

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.75K

Carlos Prates position

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.07K

Yes position

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.83K

Kyrgios position

Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.51K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.84K

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.14K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.79K

Rybakina position

Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.04K

Djokovic position

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17K

Sabalenka position

Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2K

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.6K

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Jannik Sinner position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Tate position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Jannik Sinner 9.2% 3,366.21 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Jannik Sinner 10% 10,508.88 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Jannik Sinner 8.9% 9,386.08 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 65% 12,504.99 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic 64.7% 19,809.16 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Jannik Sinner 21.1% 17,719.67 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Jannik Sinner 44% 250.9 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Jannik Sinner 43.9% 2,166.88 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 39% 185,301.65 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 39% 91,001.72 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Khamzat Chimaev 81% 476,988.3 shares
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Yes 20% 140,173.69 shares