Polymarket Trader

vinty

0x8c932681e6268c13b1bd2a2b26125ecfb5a64b56

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.04
Realized PnL: $1.34
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.72
Potential profit: $316.72
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.79
Potential profit: $129.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (April 19)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.92
Potential profit: $45.92
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.44
Potential profit: $19.44
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $10.2
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $9.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $9.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.01
Potential profit: $9.01
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.47
Potential profit: $7.47
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.07
Potential profit: $7.07
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (April 19)

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.9% 11.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.1% 59.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 43.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.6% 46.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 14% 2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 14% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 7.4% 13.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 13% 23.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 36% 16.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 13% 8.33 shares