Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.21K
- Potential profit
- $28.21K
- User PnL
- -$142.19
Polymarket Trader
tomekrango
0x8ca77a3a915e66ac508840dbc596f1c92b58ad36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $238.99
- Realized PnL
- -$1.09K
- Win rate
- 9.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$40.39
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $228.55
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $857.21
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- $192.72
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $632.71
- Potential profit
- $622.27
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $278
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.8
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.83
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.9
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$126.23
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$134
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$388.79
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$974.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?Yes 3.3% 1,085.76 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 1.7% 632.71 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 0.5% 278 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 0.5% 28,212.12 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes 2.4% 1,650.21 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?Yes 0.3% 4,423.65 shares
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 17% 64.7 shares
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 17.9% 808.83 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 1.8% 275.49 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?No 1.6% 622.49 shares
- Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 21?Yes 1% 383.06 shares