Polymarket Trader

lilesto

@CryptoEsto

0x8cb4cd50c5cbc231d5df93c097b605fdf116b997

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.22K
Realized PnL: $18.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $3.61K
Potential payout: $17.45K
Potential profit: $13.83K
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$5.11K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $13.83K
Potential payout: $17.45K
Potential profit: $3.61K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $5.11K

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $923
Potential payout: $923.46
Potential profit: $0.46
User PnL: $150.44

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$249.75

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $499.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $84.75

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $37.16
Potential payout: $281.49
Potential profit: $244.33
Multiplier: 7.58x
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $161.09
Potential payout: $161.17
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $129.81
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $25.11

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.14
Potential payout: $17.15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $8.22

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13K

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,600 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Google dip to $300 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $946.88

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $185?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $864.61

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270–275 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $798.16

Yes position

Will Google reach $340 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $790.54

No position

Will Opendoor reach $13 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.58

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480-$490 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $725.52

No position

Will Meta dip to $590 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.36

No position

Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $178 end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $616.32

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $490-$500 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 24 – Nov 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.11

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.07

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.66

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $200?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.51

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$125 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $498.5

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.81

No position

Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.75

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.52

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $190 before 2026??

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.71

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.4

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 17 above $480?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.84

No position

Will Amazon dip to $216 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Yes 53% 50.17 shares
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $390?

No 16% 10 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?

Yes 2.4% 1.19 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Yes 5.9% 510.08 shares
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

No 63.2% 86 shares
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

No 48% 218.83 shares
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $4.00?

Yes 95.9% 91.43 shares
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $4.00 end of March?

Yes 83.3% 180 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $385?

Yes 58.3% 67 shares
Will Tesla reach $420 in March?

Yes 47.6% 32.62 shares
Will Tesla reach $450 in March?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of March?

Yes 39% 26 shares