captainsmithers2

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.23
Potential profit: $30.23
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.47
Potential profit: $29.47
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.53
Potential profit: $22.53
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.8
Potential profit: $20.8
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.8
Potential profit: $17.8
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $16.71
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.5
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14
Potential profit: $16.14
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.88
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $14.86
Potential profit: $14.67
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.38
Potential profit: $14.38
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.13
Potential profit: $14.13
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $12.59
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.5
Potential profit: $13.5
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $13.5
Potential profit: $12.56
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.5
Potential profit: $13.5
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.5
Potential profit: $13.5
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.22
Potential profit: $12.22
User PnL: -$1.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 45.3%
Multiplier: 2.21x
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?