Polymarket Trader

Ethan99999

0x8cd15c4fabb837c3707e4dafc4958f4e4424ea75

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.16K
Realized PnL: $1.69K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $41.67
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.34K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$8.33

No position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $283.32
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $48.92

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $177.33
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $985.47
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $77.33

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $159.59
Potential payout: $820.51
Potential profit: $660.92
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $722.22
Potential profit: $722.22
User PnL: -$205

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $19.81
Potential payout: $377.36
Potential profit: $357.55
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $19.82
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $343.82
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.35
Potential profit: $337.35
User PnL: -$173.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.9

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.99

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $50.18

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.98

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $30.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.51

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $17.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $15.13

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 11PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 18, 9PM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.12

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 19, 3AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 377.36 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 363.64 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.5% 307.69 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.5% 512.82 shares
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 82.2% 695.5 shares
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 78% 128.21 shares
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 85% 70.57 shares
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 85% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 67% 200 shares
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 24% 208.33 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 2,380.95 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.6% 1,162.79 shares