No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $262.76
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $40.08
Polymarket Trader
0x8cec...af0d
0x8cec4db807efac1ca2584d24f25c9d57a5f4af0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $168.2
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $105.49
- Potential payout
- $843.92
- Potential profit
- $738.43
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$97.05
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Current value
- $142.11
- Potential payout
- $228.48
- Potential profit
- $86.37
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $154.05
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8.27
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $5.39
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 66.6% 517.26 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 62% 228.48 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 24% 843.92 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 82.3% 437.08 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 38.9% 912.31 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.6% 198.89 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 96.7% 992.04 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 56% 539.42 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.4% 91.08 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No 78.9% 87.14 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No 84.3% 46.86 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No 80.2% 547.63 shares