No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $520
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Polymarket Trader
testoo7
0x8cf3508fee26f252c91c7011a158f869748fb0fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.17
- Realized PnL
- $322.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between June 22-28 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.06
- Potential profit
- $223.06
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $186
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between July 6-12 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $195
- Potential profit
- $195
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between June 8-14 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.3
- Potential profit
- $171.3
- User PnL
- -$2.36
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$20.08
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between June 15-21 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.3
- Potential profit
- $121.3
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will 4 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $21.03
- Potential payout
- $113.7
- Potential profit
- $92.67
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $17.58
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.45
- Potential profit
- $102.45
- User PnL
- -$4.81
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.6
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between July 20-26 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between June 29-July 5 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.94
- Potential profit
- $98.94
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will 5 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.13
- Potential payout
- $96.51
- Potential profit
- $86.37
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $7.54
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $95
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.23
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.4
Yes position
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $15.08
No position
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $14.68
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
Yes position
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.82
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
No position
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.24
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.94
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.56
Yes position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Will 70-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.36
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Hurricanes position
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Hurricanes position
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 16.6% 99.99 shares
- US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?Yes 5% 50 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 60 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 4.2% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 2.8% 50 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 22% 40 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 11.1% 50 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 39% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 10.4% 100 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 25.5% 24.02 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 17% 100 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 30% 5.97 shares