Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$120
Polymarket Trader
No-bet-no-life
@me_cool_off
0x8d08fc3dd02eaf192b05782b2a8518d5364d9165
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $474.74
- Realized PnL
- $1.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $199.06
- Potential payout
- $538
- Potential profit
- $338.94
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $102.22
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $31.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $368.8
- Multiplier
- 12.82x
- User PnL
- -$29.6
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$99.86
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 42.3%
- Current value
- $126.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $173.25
- Multiplier
- 2.37x
- User PnL
- -$81.45
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $50.75
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $239.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$150.55
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $17.49
- Potential payout
- $233.2
- Potential profit
- $215.71
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$50.92
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $124.22
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.75
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.55
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.15
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Yes position
Will Iliman Ndiaye score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.05
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $248
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.25
No position
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.08
No position
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $75.4
No position
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.56
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.22
Yes position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Volkanovski position
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.89
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.47
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.9
OMalley position
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 72.4% 34.04 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 231.48 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 43.2% 231.48 shares
- Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 26% 20 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 3.3% 70.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown 66% 7.58 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 1% 299.98 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes 81% 100 shares
- UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Josh Hokit 23% 8.89 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 14% 1,089.99 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 0.5% 393.09 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 0.2% 823.74 shares