vip68

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$12.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$326.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $905.79
Potential profit: $905.79
User PnL: -$24.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $865.6
Potential profit: $865.6
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $855.69
Potential profit: $855.69
User PnL: -$5.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $814.28
Potential profit: $814.28
User PnL: -$15.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $804.03
Potential profit: $804.03
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $738.79
Potential profit: $738.79
User PnL: -$91.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $728.38
Potential profit: $728.38
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $661.18
Potential profit: $661.18
User PnL: -$16.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $657.08
Potential profit: $657.08
User PnL: -$3.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.33
Potential profit: $608.33
User PnL: -$26.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $594.3
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $597.66
Potential profit: $597.66
User PnL: -$28.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.81
Potential profit: $595.81
User PnL: -$3.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.15
Potential profit: $518.15
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$13.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.34
Potential profit: $502.34
User PnL: -$7.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $502.03
Potential profit: $502.03
User PnL: -$16.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.36
Potential profit: $501.36
User PnL: -$21.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $75.04
Potential payout: $500.25
Potential profit: $425.21
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $35.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.18
Potential profit: $500.18
User PnL: -$14.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $493.02
Potential profit: $492.77
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $491.9
Potential profit: $491.9
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.5
Potential profit: $487.5
User PnL: -$41.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471
Potential profit: $471
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.74
Potential profit: $469.74
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $468.64
Potential profit: $468.64
User PnL: -$25.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $465.26
Potential profit: $464.56
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $457.91
Potential profit: $457.91
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $393.23
Potential profit: $390.87
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.21
Potential profit: $376.21
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.01
Potential profit: $370.01
User PnL: -$18.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.47
Potential profit: $337.47
User PnL: -$68.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.12
Potential profit: $318.12
User PnL: -$7.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $13.09
Potential payout: $297.57
Potential profit: $284.48
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$19.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $280
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.73
Potential profit: $271.73
User PnL: -$7.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $239.94
Potential payout: $268.09
Potential profit: $28.15
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $179.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $264.61
Potential profit: $264.61
User PnL: -$27.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $19.12
Potential payout: $263.75
Potential profit: $244.63
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$17.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.42
Potential profit: $262.42
User PnL: -$24.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $249.29
Potential profit: $248.92
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $238.71
Potential profit: $237.04
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$14.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.13
Potential profit: $236.13
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.65
Potential profit: $208.65
User PnL: -$15.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.06
Potential profit: $206.06
User PnL: -$22.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $867.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $785.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $731.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $573.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $503.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $484.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $454.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $445.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $441.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.71

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $218.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $206.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $171.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $171.45

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?