Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $128.77
- Potential payout
- $998.24
- Potential profit
- $869.47
- Multiplier
- 7.75x
- User PnL
- -$76.12
Polymarket Trader
Itch166
0x8d0d6d9552e046ec6bba135bbdbed033d4d3982a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $189.61
- Realized PnL
- -$89.74
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $60.84
- Potential payout
- $60.84
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $20.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win by 1–24 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.71
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win by 25–49 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.77
No position
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.03
Yes position
Will the Conservative Party win by 0–24 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.31
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Panthers
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 83.4% 17.43 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 61% 17.18 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Yes 60% 26.23 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes 20.7% 972.44 shares
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Yes 15.5% 25.81 shares
- Oilers vs. PanthersOilers 42% 82.86 shares
- OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No 31% 109.56 shares
- OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No 44% 18.18 shares
- OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No 43.8% 91.39 shares
- Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Yes 0.2% 115.81 shares
- Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes 90.1% 10.49 shares
- Will the Liberal Party win by 1–24 seats?Yes 30.6% 126.51 shares