No position
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $78.61
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Polymarket Trader
Quixotic
0x8d0e168aa1774bf8805ab40a47c28b0269274c54
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.42
- Realized PnL
- $196.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $62.81
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers position
Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.65
Goyang position
Goyang vs. Mobis Phoebus
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Fed rate cut by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Biden drops out by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Biden drop out on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Berachain launch a token in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Berachain launch a token in November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Trump in jail before election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
MetaMask airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
NVIDIA largest company in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?No 99.7% 79 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No 99.6% 63 shares
- Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?No 99.9% 29.58 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 99.6% 38 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 95.6% 31.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.6% 166.14 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February?No 99.3% 50 shares
- Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?No 99.4% 40 shares
- Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?No 99.9% 40 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?No 99.8% 37 shares
- Macron out in 2025?No 99.8% 35.92 shares
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025?No 99.9% 65.85 shares