Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $6.36K
- Multiplier
- 5.24x
- User PnL
- -$862.43
Polymarket Trader
Suprasapiens
0x8d14104748fd54f3c9f7ff259c44f5a425674987
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.39K
- Realized PnL
- $2.02K
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $80.13
- Potential payout
- $7.63K
- Potential profit
- $7.55K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$772.89
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $452.18
- Potential payout
- $6.55K
- Potential profit
- $6.1K
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- -$232.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $937.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.54
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.55
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.71
No position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $30.92
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.03
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$13.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 27.6% 868.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 298.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 61% 163.93 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 97.9% 102.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 89.9% 102.97 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 28.7% 5,221.58 shares
- Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?Yes 83.6% 110.66 shares
- Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?Yes 44.3% 819.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 66.6% 544.87 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 35.2% 1,775.18 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.4% 6,699.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown 99% 5.1 shares