Polymarket Trader

kachalov

0x8d29ef6aaba2f5cfcfc5214aaf51dcd2fbd871c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $68.72
Realized PnL: $343.17
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Rico position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.06K
Potential profit: $10.06K
User PnL: -$14.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.97K
User PnL: -$24.55

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$29.83

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$3.33

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$21.1

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.62
Potential profit: $212.62
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.15
Potential profit: $187.15
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $153.45
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$9.55

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151
Potential profit: $151
User PnL: -$35.01

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.3
Potential profit: $138.3
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.44
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$14.44

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.22
Potential profit: $48.22
User PnL: -$26.03

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $34.26
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $12.04
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $9.26

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.74
Potential profit: $38.74
User PnL: -$17.93

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $32.35
Potential payout: $36.76
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.76

No position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.33

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.55

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Aryna Sabalenka position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 68% 36.76 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 54% 46.3 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 12% 148.8 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 84.1% 35.68 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 16.8% 148.81 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 57.1% 22.76 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Yes 51.2% 25.46 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka

Aryna Sabalenka 77% 14.29 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.8% 166.88 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 32.8% 76.22 shares