Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.34K
- Potential profit
- $6.34K
- User PnL
- -$506.83
Polymarket Trader
KropotkinBot
0x8d2e777cbe11109c8afe52438f881b5d5441f022
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.09
- Realized PnL
- $2.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$60
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$60
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.6K
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$14.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $869.55
- Potential profit
- $869.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $763.98
- Potential profit
- $763.98
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $722.11
- Potential profit
- $722.11
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.22
- Potential profit
- $588.22
- User PnL
- -$13.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.35
- Potential profit
- $571.35
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$14.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.91
- Potential profit
- $499.91
- User PnL
- -$198.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $472.73
- Potential profit
- $472.73
- User PnL
- -$60
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $461.53
- Potential profit
- $461.53
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408.16
- Potential profit
- $408.16
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$18.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.5
- Potential profit
- $387.5
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $363.63
- Potential profit
- $352.54
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$10.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $347.82
- Potential profit
- $347.82
- User PnL
- -$20.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.16
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.66
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.59
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 8PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.82
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.86
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.46
No position
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.13
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.49
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.18
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 24?No 74% 19.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?Yes 1% 29.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?Yes 40% 37.97 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 20.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?Yes 14.5% 77.79 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 10% 157.89 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 7% 200.1 shares
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?Yes 16% 96.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?No 3.7% 25.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 20?Yes 15.7% 83.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 70% 21.27 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 36% 42.25 shares