No position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $68.61
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $14.37
Polymarket Trader
nickr
0x8d364f4621168b28121f0af6e82b99af63096ed7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.61
- Realized PnL
- $213.71
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.93
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.09
Yes position
Will the New York Yankees win the American League?
Ends Oct 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.83
No position
Will Florida legalize weed?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.59
Miami position
Miami vs. Florida winner?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Republican position
House control after 2024 election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.52
No position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.66
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Cam Ward win the Heisman Trophy?
Ends Dec 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 3.4% 579.76 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 2.7% 895.81 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 2% 265.38 shares
- Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No 1.5% 370 shares
- Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?No 12% 97.95 shares
- Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?No 4.9% 97.96 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 4.2% 119.05 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes 1.2% 835.71 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes 3.5% 835.71 shares
- TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No 4.6% 502.78 shares
- TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No 3.2% 312.46 shares
- TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No 3.6% 190.32 shares