Polymarket Trader

Le-PnL-Maker

0x8d3e1aa97c1ef234fa2a4096ef4b4895ecf32323

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $389.78
Realized PnL: $611.81
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $85.68
Potential payout: $463.12
Potential profit: $377.44
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$14.32

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $111.62
Potential payout: $437.73
Potential profit: $326.11
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $11.62

Yes position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $122.76
Potential payout: $310.79
Potential profit: $188.03
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $37.76

Yes position

Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $127.64
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.97
Potential profit: $106.97
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.39
Potential profit: $102.39
User PnL: -$23.55

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $49.47
Potential payout: $72.22
Potential profit: $22.75
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $29.63
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.3

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.61

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.39

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.89

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.28

No position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

Yes position

Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 83.33 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 72% 72.22 shares
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.3% 187.77 shares
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 37.8% 39.68 shares
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Yes 2.1% 142.86 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Yes 23% 102.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 6?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 6?

Yes 13% 19.23 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 21.6% 463.12 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 22.8% 437.73 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 40% 100.66 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 25% 100 shares