No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Polymarket Trader
0x8D4542BCbD8Da1230bBd39b4C85fB95dFFE49b63-1767674955131
0x8d4542bcbd8da1230bbd39b4c85fb95dffe49b63
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$392.75
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 0
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.17
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.26
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$126.9
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75.17
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$78.26
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$126.9
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 446 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 6% 384.94 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 39% 384.95 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No 20.8% 167.81 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No 48.6% 46.49 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 29% 172.41 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes 24% 14.1 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Yes 69% 144.93 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 21% 357.95 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 79% 94.36 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 71% 94.37 shares
- Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by March 31?Yes 8.1% 590.84 shares