No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $70.54
- Potential payout
- $613.36
- Potential profit
- $542.82
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$387.22
Polymarket Trader
TheNoticer101
0x8d4ca917d7d56b2bee637b847ae33d50426d34a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $227.72
- Realized PnL
- $1.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $157.01
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $43
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.01
- Potential profit
- $160.01
- User PnL
- -$120.01
Yes position
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $32.07
- Potential profit
- $31.89
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.63
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.36
- Potential profit
- $30.36
- User PnL
- -$17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.33
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.92
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.86
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.63
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.31
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.18
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.5
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.12
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.66
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.97
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.65
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.22
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.8
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.33
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.11
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.58
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.34
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Rousey position
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.13
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of April 27 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 2.1% 510.49 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Josh Hokit 79% 6.01 shares
- Fight to Go the Distance?No 84% 5.65 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Ilia Topuria 81% 50.62 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 56% 30.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 75% 100 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 65% 153.85 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 75% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.8% 392.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 75% 60 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11?Yes 93% 49.45 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 57.9% 31.9 shares