Polymarket Trader

0x8d52A26F4bE7a445332AA5159347c36A49aB094C-1781447163211

0x8d52a26f4be7a445332aa5159347c36a49ab094c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.08
Realized PnL: $4.67
Win rate: 22.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Miami Marlins position

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $21.05
Potential payout: $22.6
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.28
Potential profit: $14.28
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.56

Washington Nationals position

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.27

No position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.39

No position

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$2.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 83% 6.02 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 88.5% 22.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 18% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 31% 9.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Up 24% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Up 74% 1.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Up 76% 1.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Up 57% 1.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Up 62% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Up 62% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Up 31% 3.23 shares