Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $454.75
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$49.75
Polymarket Trader
cactusgeo
0x8d6040eb7e6130792c18921cece2def48a05e31e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.79
- Realized PnL
- $39.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $53.54
- Potential payout
- $223.08
- Potential profit
- $169.54
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 57.69 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 34.62 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 42.31 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 26% 30.77 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 31.3% 57.59 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 19% 500 shares