No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $5.98
- User PnL
- $497.15
Polymarket Trader
Fox119
0x8d60e5cdfe34f78e8a2d7c4871d59dd112724554
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.91K
- Realized PnL
- $2.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $433.25
- Potential payout
- $605.94
- Potential profit
- $172.69
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $74.19
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.82
- Potential profit
- $304.82
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.45
- Potential profit
- $185.45
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Iran strike Habshan Field or any Processing Plants of the Habshan Complex by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.52
- Potential profit
- $143.52
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $70.15
- Potential payout
- $70.54
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $6.16
- Potential payout
- $64.88
- Potential profit
- $58.72
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.84
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $11.41
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $3.43
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $730.55
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $702.39
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.55
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.71
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.72
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.28
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.71
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.69
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.07
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.96
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.97
No position
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.85
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.75
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.28
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.59
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.94
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.35
No position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.25
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.12
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.81
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 69% 13.04 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.1% 70.54 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 85% 3.53 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No 87% 68.97 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 12.1% 118.21 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 78% 32.05 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 79.5% 377.19 shares
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No 97% 335.49 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?No 82% 48.78 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 84.6% 590.82 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 84.3% 249 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 85% 117.65 shares