Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
0x8D6361e02E1c6317f23012Bd142EB7B636033490-1778104806317
0x8d6361e02e1c6317f23012bd142eb7b636033490
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.32
- Realized PnL
- $505.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $83.33
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.29
- Potential profit
- $83.29
- User PnL
- -$24.99
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $73.53
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.75
- Potential profit
- $68.75
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $61.73
- User PnL
- -$50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $60.98
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.01
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $54.35
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $54.35
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.76
- Potential profit
- $36.76
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.25
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.25
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.41
- Potential profit
- $32.41
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.01
- Potential profit
- $29.01
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $27.4
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.67
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.82
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.72
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.37
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.35
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.22
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.49
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.31
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes 42% 71.43 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 74% 135.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp 35% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETDown 68% 36.76 shares
- Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 60% 166.67 shares
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Will "Little Brother" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes 40.4% 24.75 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 75% 13.33 shares
- Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?Yes 42% 23.81 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 52% 19.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 86% 23.25 shares