Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 1?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $518.18
- Potential profit
- $518.18
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
0x8d6b6c696354383CfE5F2840baab2AE1E859e23c-1767196718899
0x8d6b6c696354383cfe5f2840baab2ae1e859e23c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.86
- Realized PnL
- -$2.82
- Win rate
- 35%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.93
- Potential profit
- $152.93
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.71
- Potential profit
- $111.71
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 January 5-11?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.43
- Potential profit
- $78.43
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.17
- Potential profit
- $64.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $42.5
- Potential profit
- $40.16
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.88
- Potential profit
- $34.88
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $21.2
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$13.61
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.38
- Potential profit
- $19.38
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $10.75
- Potential payout
- $17.2
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.81
- Potential profit
- $14.81
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $10.51
- Potential payout
- $14.5
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
UK Recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $8.46
- Potential payout
- $11.75
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
T1 Academy position
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Vasco Esports position
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes 6% 42.5 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?No 65% 5.2 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes 65% 7 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes 68% 9 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 67% 11 shares
- Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?No 65% 17.2 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 19.5% 10.76 shares
- Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No 57% 5.31 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes 60% 18 shares
- Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No 63% 5.32 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes 65% 18 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 65.5% 22 shares