No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $3.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $530.95
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$19.25
Polymarket Trader
001xy
0x8d7c7a6ea5641c1a5ca2cb0affb0dccd5a6c5968
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.13K
- Realized PnL
- $5.24K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $725.76
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.83
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.29
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $401.3
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.55
No position
Will George Simion win by over 18%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.15
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.81
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.17
No position
Starmer out before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.28
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.84
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.62
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.4
No position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.36
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.18
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Cameron Ward be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?
Ends Apr 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the PPC win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 86% 3,661.7 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 93.2% 8,880.57 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 90% 1,111.11 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 91% 109.89 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 95.8% 10.86 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 71% 21.74 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 85% 10,999.98 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 92% 11.3 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 85% 959.11 shares
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 3% 42.54 shares
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 90.2% 902.65 shares
- Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes 80% 902.65 shares