UAB position
UAB vs. Rice
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
Polymarket Trader
cavemancal
0x8d7ff19f0247dfe83b8b192dc29d778d3b52cec9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $30.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
UAB position
UAB vs. Rice
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will 'Magazine Dreams' gross less than 1m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 78 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 16 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 60 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.3% 54 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.1% 63 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.1% 63 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.9% 57 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 70% 70 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 62 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76.4% 62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 77% 8 shares