Polymarket Trader

rocky42016

0x8d88d51a302d3bfb8fc2f71abdfd5f676cbd1e28

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.4K
Realized PnL: $25.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$31.59

Yes position

Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$28.11

Yes position

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $131.16
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$180.03

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $175.14
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $992.48
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$19.77

Yes position

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $996.97
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$27.67

Yes position

Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.32
Potential payout: $929.23
Potential profit: $926.91
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$13.4

No position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $236.27
Potential payout: $924.73
Potential profit: $688.46
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: -$12.36

Yes position

Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $911.72
Potential profit: $909.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$24.94

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $238.04
Potential payout: $898.27
Potential profit: $660.23
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$69.1

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $891.37
Potential profit: $888.69
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$9.71

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $37.15
Potential payout: $856.03
Potential profit: $818.88
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$48.45

Yes position

Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $61.32
Potential payout: $757
Potential profit: $695.68
Multiplier: 12.35x
User PnL: $33.18

Yes position

Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $141.58
Potential payout: $672.61
Potential profit: $531.03
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $133.45

No position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $78.5
Potential payout: $628
Potential profit: $549.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $589.54
Potential profit: $588.07
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.11

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $218.15
Potential payout: $513.3
Potential profit: $295.15
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$7.68

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $512.59
Potential profit: $509.51
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$37.93

Yes position

Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $503.16
Potential profit: $501.9
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$12.28

Yes position

Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $487.96
Potential profit: $486.74
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.38

No position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $27.25
Potential payout: $419.27
Potential profit: $392.02
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$231.24

Yes position

Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $399
Potential profit: $398
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $5.95
Potential payout: $384.17
Potential profit: $378.21
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$108.81

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $7.85
Potential payout: $383.12
Potential profit: $375.27
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$6.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Rays

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Elche CF position

Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Under position

Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Preston North End FC position

Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Over position

SS Juve Stabia vs. Spezia Calcio: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Over position

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $985.19

Yes position

Will Smouha SC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.91

Over position

CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $974.99

Over position

Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.12

Over position

FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $964.67

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $959.96

Ultra Prime position

LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $959.92

No position

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $954.16

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $953.91

Wrexham AFC position

Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.46

No position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $918.04

Over position

Penguins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.97

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.16

Over position

Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $895.81

Yes position

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $886.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 36.2% 156 shares
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

No 88.3% 16 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 8.1% 298 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 9% 50 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 7.9% 299 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 82.4% 111 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 6.7% 48 shares
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

No 45% 173 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 78.1% 20.99 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 31.6% 23 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 31.7% 10 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 22.7% 117 shares