Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $555.75
- Potential payout
- $9.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.94K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $52.25
Polymarket Trader
Faust12
0x8d9cd76052732beef0b2a49a02d8f077726a0803
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.7K
- Realized PnL
- $265.48
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.04K
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $246.28
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $114.93
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $79.07
- Potential payout
- $416.14
- Potential profit
- $337.08
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$150.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.11
- Potential profit
- $340.11
- User PnL
- -$11.71
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $289.2
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$32.7
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $10.54
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $259.73
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$89.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.89
- Potential profit
- $178.89
- User PnL
- -$15.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $131.58
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.37
- Potential profit
- $72.37
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $12.67
- Potential profit
- $10.96
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.48
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 41.8% 239.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?Yes 13.8% 72.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?Yes 38% 131.58 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 37% 270.27 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 94% 200 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 94% 100 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes 94% 1,200 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 89% 3,268.73 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 75% 80 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 14.5% 93.3 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 42% 12.67 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 72% 96.74 shares