Polymarket Trader

cryptva

0x8d9e7a16beeeb14343e3bfc6f19275541c3ae2cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.42
Realized PnL: $124.57
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $73.77
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $57.19
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.77
Potential profit: $52.77
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.19
Potential profit: $50.19
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $16.96
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $0.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.71

Yes position

Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.15

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 13% 76.92 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 9.5% 52.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Up 59.2% 7.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Up 61% 14.16 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Up 4% 24.98 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?

No 39.8% 50.19 shares
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

No 68% 57.22 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 45.5% 333.33 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 6% 333.33 shares