Yes position
Will Tony Mack get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $8.15
- Potential payout
- $206.38
- Potential profit
- $198.23
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $7.15
Polymarket Trader
TwinklingNeon
@NeonTwinkling
0x8da08096ed8e3bc41e21594b28552608d306a9f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $289.23
- Realized PnL
- $233.93
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $29.19
- Potential payout
- $205.74
- Potential profit
- $176.54
- Multiplier
- 7.05x
- User PnL
- -$22.38
Yes position
Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.1
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Yes position
Will Natasha Osben get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.4
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $134.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Yes position
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $171
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $180.38
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $177.03
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $85.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $14.2
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $35.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
Under position
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.91
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $20.43
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Spain position
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
England position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Under position
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Morocco position
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Under position
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.60x
- User PnL
- $2.41
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Under position
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
N
No position
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 2.6% 37.89 shares
- Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 4% 60 shares
- Will Giles Watling get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 1% 15 shares
- Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 1.6% 75 shares
- Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 1.5% 55 shares
- Will Natasha Osben get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 2.4% 80 shares
- Will Natasha Osben get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 2.1% 70 shares
- Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 2.8% 100 shares
- Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 2.7% 30 shares
- Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 10% 130 shares
- Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 9.9% 10 shares
- Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes 76% 109.99 shares