Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $18.36
- Potential payout
- $74.93
- Potential profit
- $56.57
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Polymarket Trader
RiskyMoolah
0x8da391f364ba9e516cfed5e10f0e1c4d5698c418
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.6
- Realized PnL
- $31.8
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $49.43
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $27.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.8%
- Current value
- $12.94
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $12.06
- Multiplier
- 1.93x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.3%
- Current value
- $12.06
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $12.93
- Multiplier
- 2.07x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.91
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.54
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.3
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $3.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.78
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.93
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.89
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.91
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.96
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.68
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.85
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C or below on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Multiplier
- 11.49x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?No 51.7% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?No 51.1% 9.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?Yes 2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?Yes 7% 3.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?Yes 1% 46.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?Yes 49% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?Yes 2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 8?Yes 13% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?Yes 12.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 8?Yes 0.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 7?Yes 23% 12.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on July 7?Yes 3.9% 13.21 shares