Polymarket Trader

yerbadda

0x8da4f7174bf46b73126b6e58bf50f8eb93ffa16f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $436.91
Realized PnL: $387.06
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $32.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $100.27
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $3.99K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $30.44

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $206.49
Potential payout: $798.8
Potential profit: $592.31
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $5.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $35.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $64.75
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $21.7

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$26

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $29.27

No position

Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.96
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.46

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.25

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.65

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$1.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

No 9% 100 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.3% 10 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 50 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 20.2% 298.8 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 92% 10 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

No 99.6% 2,000 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?

No 99.7% 2,000 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 1,450 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 1,500 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 26% 100 shares
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 46% 49.78 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 16% 67 shares